Indian IPO Blog: Stock Market Articles
Showing posts with label Stock Market Articles. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stock Market Articles. Show all posts

Saturday, March 14, 2020

Do you hold Yes Bank shares? You cannot sell more than 25 percent till 3 years

March 14, 2020 0
Do you hold Yes Bank shares? You cannot sell more than 25 percent till 3 years

The Government has notified reconstruction scheme for Yes Bank. According to the government’s notification, Yes Bank's authorised share capital will stand altered to Rs 6,200 crore from Rs 1,100 crore earlier. The number of total equity shares will stand altered to 3,000 crore of Rs 2 each. Authorised preference share capital shall continue to be Rs 200 crore.

One important provision in the scheme is notable in Clause 3 (8) which says that there shall be a lock-in period of three years from the commencement of this Scheme to the extent of 75 percent in respect of: 

  • Shares held by existing shareholders on the date of such commencement 
  • Shares allotted to the investors under this Scheme

The lock-in period shall not apply to any shareholder holding less than 100 shares

While SBI is required to maintain at least 26 percent stake in Yes Bank for a period of three years, the other investors will see 75 percent of their investment locked in for a period of three years.

This is probably the first time that such a restriction is placed upon retail shareholders as well

It may be interpreted from above that the restriction will apply only to the extent of 75% of existing shareholding meaning thereby that such restriction would not apply to remaining 25% of shareholding as well as to shares bought after the scheme

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Wednesday, September 5, 2018

IndianIPOBlog MF: Too many schemes in Mutual Funds do not necessarily mean diversification

September 05, 2018 0
IndianIPOBlog MF: Too many schemes in Mutual Funds do not necessarily mean diversification
Diversification: The word that most investing schools and experts would tell you for mitigating market risks. However, it has to be understood that diversification in mutual funds is different from that in stocks

In general, diversifying your portfolio is always a good idea. This does not however mean, that there is need to add many funds into the portfolio. One large-cap fund is sufficient in any portfolio, and even an index-tracking fund would be an added buffer. However, abruptly selected funds will keep your portfolio as a high-risk portfolio with sporadically selected funds. 

Thematic funds for instance, need care and understanding of time of entry and exit along with active tracking. Most investors do not have either of these and still choose to opt for thematic funds consequently resulting in meagre returns

Many investors have this notion in mind that if they own all types of mutual funds in their portfolio, then diversification is achieved and risk will be mitigated. What happens in these types of portfolios is that effectively your capital is so dispersed that any significantly market beating returns in one or two good funds are offset by muted returns in other funds in your basket, and the end result is that you do not get effective return on the overall portfolio

Although the composition of your portfolio would depend on a lot of factors like risk appetite, aggression as well as your age, diversification needs to be smart and dynamic when it comes to mutual funds and not necessarily mean owning many funds

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Sunday, October 8, 2017

Pearls of Financial Wisdom

October 08, 2017 0
Pearls of Financial Wisdom

Pearls of Financial Wisdom

1) Bonds are for storing wealth and equities are for creation of wealth.

2) In my opinion, *the biggest asset one can have is zero debt*.

3) *The greatest discipline in personal finance is living below your means*.

4) As Ben Carlson says, emotions cannot be back tested. That’s why past bear market always looks like opportunities and future ones scary.

5) Early financial independence and early retirement are completely different. To me, the former is a blessing and the latter is a curse.

6) Don’t think how it would have been if you’ve started 10 years ago. Start today and visualise how you would feel 10 years from now.

7) The neighbourhood we live determines our life style & spending. Need to be careful in choosing one which matches our goals and personality.

8) Paying minimum balance regularly on credit card is the maximum sign that you’re getting into debt trap.

9) Many are long term investors till next bear market.

10) *Don’t take aggressive bets. Take measured risk*. Remember one blunder can push you back by a decade or more in terms of wealth.

11) *Big money can be made through high savings, wise investing and lots of patience*.

12) One sign of progress in individual investor’s portfolio is no churn or very less churn.

13) *Trying to get rich fast is a foolproof way to lose what we have*.

14) *Losing opportunities is far better than losing money. Don’t invest in fads*.

15) ‘Making as much money as quickly as possible’ is not an investment strategy. Unfortunately for most of us that is the strategy.

16) Aggressive strategy cannot be a substitute for high savings. *Save high and take moderate risk than saving less and taking high risk*.

17) *The day we realise not losing is as important as winning; we would stop blindly chasing returns*.

18) Good periods are more than bad periods. By *not timing*, though we go through bad periods, do not miss even a single good period.

19) We’ll stop looking for quick money the moment we consider stocks as businesses and realise that our wealth grows in line with business growth.

20) *There are periods of high returns, low returns, no returns and negative returns. We need to go through all these to get long term returns*.

21) *Listening to market forecasts is not only useless but can be very harmful too* if you start acting on them.

22) *The hard truth is only around 3% of our population are in a position to aspire for financial independence. Don’t waste this rare privilege*.

Monday, August 21, 2017

Infosys : When the elephants fight, the grass gets the wounds!

August 21, 2017 0
Infosys : When the elephants fight, the grass gets the wounds!
- By Yash Ved

Unless you live under a rock, you sure as hell would have had to bear the echos of the battle of giants within Infosys' boardroom

For those who like gossips, here's what happened: Infosys CEO Vishal Sikka says enough is enough and decides to quit the company and with this: all hell breaks loose. The company’s board puts the blame squarely on the company’s founder N.R. Narayana Murthy, saying his relentless rhetoric is the primary reason behind the abrupt exit.

With Infosys' first non-founder CEO resigning and the dirty laundry of the spat between the board and Murthy coming out in the open, the stock slipped from its high to 13 per cent down in intra day trade to touch its multi-year low of Rs 884.20 this Friday though closing in at Rs.924

In a bid to counter the overflow of negative sentiments, the board announces buyback of Rs.13000 crores at Rs.1150 a piece. Does it or would it work? Well, that's upto future but the stock bleeds away another 5 percent on Monday and reaches Rs.873 levels!

But wait! Hold on a moment! Who gained amidst all this? Apparently: no one! The situation clearly all sounds synonymous to that good old saying that when the elephants fight, the grass gets hurt!

Whether it was the tension between Sikka and Murthy or the spat between the Board and the founder, one can do as much root cause analysis of it as one wants but the fact remains that the 'discliplined investor' who trusted the name and bought shares at Rs.1k levels like a good boy is the one that has really had to bleed red! 

With such hard earned money of thousands at stake, it is high time that good sense prevails over ego and both Infosys board and Murthy do what they need to and that is stop being kiddish and work on providing some well deserved and credible confidence to the investors!


Disclosure: Views expressed are personal. The writers may hold position in the stocks discussed in above article

Friday, March 31, 2017

Top 10 Mistakes investors make in stock markets

March 31, 2017 0
Top 10 Mistakes investors make in stock markets

Here is a list of 10 mistakes you make that puts you in wealth destroyers' club

Mistake number 1 - you don't sell off your losing junk stocks

Mistake number 2 - you wait so long that you let your winning stocks turn into losers

Mistake number 3 - you get to emotional about your stock picks

Mistake number 4 - you bet all your money on only one or two stocks

Mistake number 5 - you are unable to be both disciplined and flexible

Mistake number 6 - you listen to or get tips from the wrong people

Mistake number 7 - you follow wrong crowd

Mistake number 8 - you are not aware of the worst case scenario

Mistake number 9 - you don't have plan B even if you are aware of what is worst case scenario

and finally....

Mistake number 10 - you don't learn from any of your above 9 mistakes!

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

Does Long Term Investment in stocks always proves good?

March 29, 2017 0
Does Long Term Investment in stocks always proves good?

There are always success stories in stock markets - with the likes of Infosys, Wipro, Eicher Motors circulating these days. But Does Long Term really and always pay off? Well, let's think again...

Stock Markets are fascinating. Indian Stock Markets can compete with the rest of world for the success stories, scandals, intrigue and the tales of disasters.

It is said that Stock Markets are the barometer of a nation’s economic progress. It is often debated but the majority argument favors this statement.

Stock market has given returns which are higher then any other asset class.

Then there are the great stories of Infosys, Wipro, Eicher Motors giving unimaginable returns on investment.

But there are two sides of every coin.

The Story Nobody Likes To Tell

In the NIFTY index, there are 50 stocks ( NIFTY actually means NSE FIFTY ).

( Oddly, though at present there are 51 )

These stocks are based mainly on market capitalization. When a constituent loses value significantly, it is removed from index and replaced by another stock. No one talks of these stocks which got removed.

They were the stars of the day at some point of time and are duds today. Those were the investment ideas of that time and relegated to horror stories now. I will talk about this aspect which no one talks about.

The Wealth Destroyers:

These stocks may be not in favor presently, but were the flavor of the month at their prime. They were part of the NIFTY index or otherwise very highly regarded and traded. Today they are shunned and forgotten, but there are real people holding these stocks wondering how they will ever recover their money. NIFTY going up does not have a meaning for them.

Reliance Communication:

On Jan 08, 2008 , the stock traded at a lifetime high of Rs. 844.70

The lifetime low was around Rs. 30 few days back

2. Suzlon Energy:

The huge fall in this stock made me look for other similar stories.

It was added to NIFTY in 2006. In 2008, it traded above Rs. 2000 and then there was a stock split. The comparison is made taking into account the effect of splitting.

The lifetime High- Jan 09, 2008 — Rs. 412.88

The lifetime Low— August 28, 2013— Rs. 5.70

And the funny part is:

You will get to hear on business channels that Suzlon Energy has gained 158% in last three years.

3. Unitech:

It was a NIFTY stock in 2008. It was valued highly and was at a high of Rs. 546.80 on January 2, 2008.

What is the current price?

Rs. 5.90

It is around 1% of the high price.

Can the investor ever expect to make good their losses?

4. DLF:

From a high of Rs. 1225 in January 2008 , it trades for around Rs. 147 today.  Appears better than the others listed above, but 90% loss is not something to be taken lightly.

Even if it goes up by 100%, it will be nowhere near 1225.

5. Himachal Futuristics:

In December 2000, one of my friend bought for Rs. 1560 on one day and sold for Rs. 1605 next day. A day later it was Rs. 1675. He blamed himself for not taking profit.

Few months later was shocked when he saw a price of Rs. 90 in April 2001.

Today it trades at around Rs. 13.

Do you know what was the highest price?

Rs. 2578.05 on March 08, 2000.

In 16 years, the value of investment has come down to about 0.5%

A stock value can not fall 100%, but it is as near as you can get.

6. Jaiprakash Associates:

It was part of NIFTY. A big conglomerate in construction, power and cement business.

In January 2008, the high was Rs. 339.

Now it trades for Rs. 13.

Why This Story Needs To Be Told?:

It is a widely held belief that in the long run, markets give good returns.

This belief is true.

But the indices do not give the true picture.

In most of the above cited cases, the high price was in January 2008 ( except HFCL ) when NIFTY was around 6100.

Today, NIFTY is at 9200 but these stocks are at just at a fraction of their highs. Market has gone up but they continue to be laggards.

I have listed only a few. There are hundreds of such horror stories.

Index is adjusted by removing or adding stocks. An investor is not so agile.

You can lose money even when ma

rkets are going up.

What should be done to avoid such situations?:

Hindsight is always twenty twenty.

We need a good foresight.

No one knows that an INFOSYS will multiply a thousand times and HFCL will reduce to half percent value. In year 2000, both were the future stars. What a contrast today?

Protect your portfolio, like index protects itself. And take action earlier than the index does. In a long term portfolio, get rid of the stock, when it has fallen by about 15–20% of your purchase price.

There will be pain at that time, but not the endless pain which the investors of Unitech, Suzlon, JP Associates are enduring year after year.

I can not suggest that you should stay invested in Blue Chips.

All these were Blue Chips in their prime.

Conclusion:

Indian stock markets are wonderful. There are success stories, but so are the doomsday tales. All make for fascinating stories.

There are inspiring stories of Rakesh Jhunjhunuwala, but the sordid saga of Harshad Mehta also looms in the background.

Do not let the euphoria of the bull market impact you. Pay heed to the beaten down cases also. Learn your lessons from them.

A balanced view will make you a better investor and trader.....

Friday, January 13, 2012

Do some homework before investing in stocks

January 13, 2012 0
Do some homework before investing in stocks
In these times of gloom, it becomes all the more important to do some research before you go around chasing that new IPO in the town. While we can’t ignore the robust returns that Coal Indias and Jubilant Foodworks of the world have generated, one has to look at the other side of the story as well. Many of following things apply to secondary market as well, though they are specially relevant in case of IPOs

Get the basics right! Look at Fundamentals!

Overlooking fundamentals of the company is quite common in a haste to make a quick buck from the market. Many gullible investors get so lured by high Grey Market Premiums that they hardly bother to get an idea even about what the company is and what it is doing, let alone the balance sheet position or profitability! Investors should make it a point to read the IPO Grading Document from credit rating agencies on fundamentals of the company. Credit Rating Agencies in India assign IPO Grades on a scale of IPO Grade 1 to IPO Grade 5 with IPO Grade 1 indicating relatively poor fundamentals and IPO Grade 5 indicating that the company has strong fundamentals compared to other listed entities


Avoid the ‘Halo’ effect

Just because your buddy, broker, butler or barber says that the company is going to be the next Infy, it isn’t going to make it so. Remember that it is the job of investment bankers and managers of the issue to secure maximum subscription and so they may create a lot of hype around it. Avoid the herd instinct and take some time out to refer to the Red Herring Prospectus – this is the single most important document offering a wide range of details and disclosures about the company and its business. Have a look at the promoters’ standing by going through their background, the experience in the industry, the performance of the other companies promoted by them. Check to see whether there are major litigations or other risk factors against the promoters or the company. A quick look at these things would make sure that you do not invest purely on hunches, rumours, or 'hot' tips


Evaluate company performance

At the end of the day, share prices are a reflection of how good the company is performing and how good it is expected to. Grabbing a copy of the financial statements of the company for previous few years and going through them patiently will certainly do justice to your time spent on it. Look at the balance sheet position and profitability ratios of the company and compare them with similar companies within the industry. Bear in mind that if a business does well, the stock would eventually follow. Watch out for window dressing of financial statements Check if the figures in line, above or below par with the similar companies in the industry. It is amazing how some loss making companies suddenly turn profitable exactly a quarter or two before the IPO! See to it whether there is a sudden improvement in the numbers just before the issue without any justifiable reasons.

Check out the Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratio considering the price band and compare the same with peers of the company. P/E Ratio is an indicator of the number of multiples that the market price would be over its current profit levels. The general rule of the thumb for P/E is that the lower the P/E, the better it is for the investor, because a lower P/E multiple essentially means that you are getting to buy something at a price which can be considered cheaper keeping the earnings of the company in perspective. Bear in mind, though, that during booming times it is easy to get carried away on this front since the prices of P/E of peers are also at elevated levels.


Glance over the objects and future prospects

Check whether the objects of the issue seem to be line with the business of the company and congruent with its future prospects. See to it whether there are companies within the group doing the same business and whether company intends to utilize the proceeds in a way that would be in the interest of itself or would rather benefit other companies in the group. Also, have a look what would be the promoters’ holding after the issue. A smaller post-issue stake may indicate the reduced promoters’ confidence in the future prospects of the company

Cheap, yet so expensive!

Legendary Investor Warren Buffett once said “It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price!” Now, whether the quote goes down well with you or not depends on how you look at some of those low priced stocks. Many Investors often get lured by the low tick size of IPOs as they think that would buy them more number of shares. They tend to buy cheap stocks, which are not that valuable, only to repent the decision later. At the same time, you need to watch out for extraordinarily high-priced IPOs as well. Keep in mind that however good a company’s future prospects are, a high price set at the IPO stage itself would eat into the prospect of an appreciation later. Comparing the company’s EPS with the average P/E Ratio for peer companies can give a good idea on what is a fair price for the IPO. If the price band seems far stretched from the fair price, you may be better off buying from secondary market instead

All in all, the time and effort you spent in taking some of these basic precautions before hopping in is likely to keep your money a lot safer! Do not invest if you think that price is not right or you aren’t convinced about the company’s business and whatever you do, do not invest simply because your buddy, broker, butler or barber does so!

Wednesday, August 17, 2011

Indian IPO Blog Insight Article: Be Brave! Start picking Bluechip gems in this gloom!

August 17, 2011 0
Indian IPO Blog Insight Article: Be Brave! Start picking Bluechip gems in this gloom!
A downgrade of US credit ratings recently by ratings agency Standard&Poor’s from an AAA to AA+ for the first time in the history has triggered a series of heavy sell-offs across the global markets on one hand and also the resulting negativity in sentiments on the other.

Despite assurances from the Finance Minister and many experts that India is looking relatively stronger, a negative effect on the market sentiment is inevitable. Would you prefer to get into your shell or stick your neck out and start putting your money in markets?

Read more at Indian IPO Blog Insights>>