Indian IPO Blog: IPO Insights
Showing posts with label IPO Insights. Show all posts
Showing posts with label IPO Insights. Show all posts

Monday, December 10, 2012

Bharti Infratel IPO - Analysis

December 10, 2012 0
Bharti Infratel IPO - Analysis
Bharti Infratel is entering the capital markets with an IPO of 18.89 crore equity shares of Rs.10 each, comprising of an offer for sale of 4.27 crore shares by 4 PE investors and balance shares consisting of fresh issue. The IPO would open for subscription from December 11, 2012 and would close for subscription for QIB investors on December 13, 2012 and for other investors on December 14, 2012.

The shares are offered in a price band of Rs.210/- to Rs.240/- per equity share. The Retail Investors and eligible employees would be entitled to a discount of Rs.10/- per share

Company Profile:

Bharti Infratel is one of the world's largest telecom tower infrastructure providers which deploys, owns and manages telecom towers and communication structures for all wireless operators. The business of Bharti Infratel and Indus is to acquire, build, own and operate tower and related infrastructure.

Bharti Infratel and Indus currently provide access to their towers primarily to wireless telecommunications service providers. Bharti Infratel's and Indus's three largest customers are Bharti Airtel (together with Bharti Hexacom), Vodafone India and Idea Cellular. They are the three leading wireless telecommunications service providers in India by wireless revenue. Bharti Infratel, having presence in all 22 telecom circle in India, enjoys 23% market share in terms of tenancies, as of March 2012. The promoter of the company is Bharti Airtel


IPO Rating:
CRISIL has assigned a CRISIL IPO Grade "4/5" (pronounced "four on five") to the proposed initial public offer (IPO) of Bharti Infratel Ltd (Bharti Infratel). This grade indicates that the fundamentals of the IPO are ‘above average’ relative to the other listed equity securities in India. CRISIL assigns IPO grading on a scale of IPO Grade 5 to IPO Grade 1, with IPO Grade 5 indicating strong fundamentals and IPO Grade 1 indicating poor fundamentals. According to the grading document from CRISIL, the assigned grade also reflects the strong and stable operating cash flows resulting from long-term contracts.

The company’s robust back-end processes, which ensure higher reliability of network uptime for its clients, support the grade. However, low return on capital employed (RoCE) is a concern. Since tower infrastructure is a business with high operating leverage, RoCE is expected to improve in line with an increase in the tenancy ratio albeit from a lower base. The grade is not an opinion on whether the issue price is appropriate in relation to the issue fundamentals. The grade is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold the graded instrument, or a comment on the graded instrument’s future market price or its suitability for a particular investor.


Key Strengths:
  • The company stands to gain from the increase in penetration of voice and data services, which is expected to drive the telecom companies' demand for base transceiver stations (BTS) and additional towers.
  • Bharti Infratel and Indus Towers will benefit from any expansion of the network by India’s leading telcos - Bharti Airtel, Vodafone and Idea Cellular Ltd - as they are the preferred players for passive infrastructure requirements of the three telcos. 
  • Large-scale operations, first-mover advantage and pool sharing arrangement among the top three telcos have resulted in better-than-industry tenancy ratio for Bharti Infratel. It is expected to improve further leading to high operating leverage and improvement in profitability

Risks and Concerns:
  • Tower infrastructure is a business with high operating leverage. Low asset turnover and minimal use of leverage in a capital intensive industry have resulted in low return on equity (RoE) for Bharti Infratel over the past three years, which can increase if the leverage is corrected
  • The overcapacity in the industry is expected to limit the demand for rollout of new towers. Further, regulatory changes and the resultant uncertainty pose a risk to telecom players as their network rollout plans could be hampered.

Concluding Remarks:

The company has sound operating model in place. At the upper band of Price Band of Rs. 210 to Rs. 240 per share, shares are being issued at a PE that is undoubtedly expensive. Such higher price may be justified considering the long term story of the company, but investors may want to exercise caution before jumping into the ship, particularly if they are seeking listing gains, which seem unlikely

Sunday, December 9, 2012

PC Jeweller IPO - Indian IPO Blog Analysis

December 09, 2012 0
PC Jeweller IPO - Indian IPO Blog Analysis
PC Jewellers (PCJ) is coming out with an initial public offering (IPO) of 4.51 crore equity shares with a Face Value of Rs.10 each (including employee reservation of 3.6 Lakh shares). The shares will be offered in a price band of Rs.125/- to Rs.135/- per equity share. The Issue will remain open between December 10, 2012 and December 12, 2012. Retail Investors and Employees of the company will be offered a discount of Rs.5/- per equity share


Company Profile and Promoters:

PC Jeweller Ltd is an established jewellery retailer in North India. Company's operations include the manufacture, retail and wholesale of jewellery. PCJ offers a wide range of products including gold jewellery, diamond jewellery and other jewellery including silver articles. The company provides 100% Hallmarked jewellery and Certified Diamond jewellery. PC Jeweller have 30 showrooms under the "PC Jeweller" brand located across 23 cities in north and central India. Company is planning to expand their showroom network across India by adding 20 more in next two years, including in southern and western parts of India. They have manufacturing facilities at 5 locations. The company is promoted by Balram Garg and Padam Chand Gupta


IPO Rating:

CRISIL has assigned a CRISIL IPO Grade "3/5" (pronounced "three on five") to the proposed initial public offer (IPO) of PC Jeweller Ltd (PCJ). This grade indicates that the fundamentals of the IPO are ‘average’ relative to the other listed equity securities in India. CRISIL assigns IPO grading on a scale of IPO Grade 5 to IPO Grade 1, with IPO Grade 5 indicating strong fundamentals and IPO Grade 1 indicating poor fundamentals. However, this grade is not an opinion on whether the issue price is appropriate in relation to the issue fundamentals. The grade is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold the graded instrument, or a comment on the graded instrument’s future market price or its suitability for a particular investor

According to the grading report, the assigned grade reflects its seven-year-old presence and the ensuing strong reputation in an industry quintessentially benefited by the country’s obsession for gold. Strong brand recall, successful branch expansion (from one to 30 showrooms in the past seven years) and stellar increase in gold prices have added shine to PCJ’s top line, which has grown at a three-year CAGR of 69%.

However, competition in the jewellery retailing market - likely to intensify following planned expansions by regional/traditional players - poses a significant risk



Key Strengths:
  • Compared with other gold jewellery players, PCJ’s revenue mix leans towards higher-margin diamond jewellery
  • The organised players account for approximately 16-18% share (including the regional players) of the Indian jewellery industry. The low penetration presents a good growth opportunity for a player like PCJ on account of the rising disposable incomes, which are likely to fuel the growth of jewellery consumption in the country
  • The operating profit grew at a CAGR of 96.3% in the last 4-5 years from around Rs.20 crore in FY2008 to Rs.330 crore in FY2012. The operating profit margin of the company at approximately 11%, is respectable enough when compared with peers. The Net Profit Margin stands at around 7.7% which also is one of highest amongst peers

Risks:
  • The company generates a major portion of its domestic sales from its showrooms in Delhi 
  • PCJ’s plans to add 20 showrooms by FY14 across India should mitigate the risk of regional concentration but the opening of new stores in a competitive market is likely to put pressure on profitability due to higher marketing expenses and working capital requirement. 
  • Moreover, the compensation structure for key management personnel appears low, which can lead to attrition.
  • Uncertain macro environment may put pressure on sales. The jewellery segment is discretionary in nature and is a luxury item. The current uncertain macro economic environment may drag on the company’s performance for the near term.

Remarks:

The share offered at roughly 7-8 times PE multiple, which is neighter generous nor blown out of proportions. Though participating in the IPO may be apt, however, investors may not be willing to go full throttle on the IPO

Wednesday, December 5, 2012

CARE IPO - Analysis and Insight

December 05, 2012 0
CARE IPO - Analysis and Insight
Credit Analysis & Research Ltd. (CARE), the second largest full-service credit rating company in India, is coming up with an Initial Public Offering (IPO) consisting of 7,199,700 Equity Shares of Rs.10/- each for cash in a price band of Rs.700/- to Rs.750/- per equity share. Applications can be made in a bid lot of 20 Equity Shares and in multiples thereof, translating into minimum application size of Rs.15,000/-. The Equity shares are proposed to be listed on both BSE and NSE

Company Profile and Promoter Background:

CARE offers rating and grading services across a diverse range of instruments and industries including IPO grading, equity grading, and grading of various types of enterprises, including shipyards, maritime training institutes, construction companies and rating of real estate projects, among others. They also provide general and customized industry research reports.

The Company as such, has no promoter, domestic banks and financial institutions being the chief stakeholders. IDBI Bank, Canara Bank, SBI are amongst CARE's current shareholders. Post IPO, IDBI Bank will continue to be the largest shareholder retaining 17.2% stake in the company


IPO Grading:

CARE itself is the top rating agency of IPOs in India, having graded the largest number of IPOs since the introduction of IPO grading in India. CARE Ratings has completed over 19069 rating assignments having aggregate value of about Rs. 44051 Billion (as of September 30, 2012), since its inception in April 1993. As such, none of the rating companies including CRISIL, ICRA, Fitch, Brickworks would be rating the Initial Public Offer of CARE, which goes on air from Friday, December 7, 2012. The IPO is exempted from credit rating


Strengths and Positives:
  • The company gets most of its revenue from the ratings business, which is clearly a high margin business. This coupled with debt free and cash rich status of the company, translates into a concrete strength for the company
  • The Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) margin for the half-year ended September is 69%, comparing very well to listed peers with ICRA at 32.9% and CRISIL at 31.7%. CARE's Return on Equity also was 30.7% in FY12, clearly better than ICRAs 16%, though lower than CRISIL's 42%
  • The Company has a low-cost back-office in Ahmedabad, which helps it restrict its employee costs to less than 25% of its sales, compared with nearly 50% as in the case of CRISIL and ICRA
  • If an estimated Rs.100 Crore of Net Profit for FY 2013, translating to EPS of about Rs.35. Thus, the shares under IPO are offered in a relatively attractive prospective PE of about 20-22 times

Significant Risks:
  • For the year ended March, 86.4% of its revenue came from ratings. Thus, the mainstream revenue come from concentrated pocket. If banks decide to rate their loans internally, which the RBI may allow them to do so in future, it may impact CARE Ratings significantly
  • The company is planning to emulate its listed peers by expanding and diversifying its business into research wings, which may take time to materialize

Overall Comments:
The strengths of the company clearly outweigh the risks involved. The quality of financials coupled with relatively attractive pricing offers a very strong reason to go for the IPO

Sunday, April 22, 2012

Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri IPO - Detailed Insight

April 22, 2012 0
Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri IPO - Detailed Insight
Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd., an Indian top jewellery retailer, is entering the capital markets with an IPO of 16,666,667 Equity Shares of Rs.10/- each, which would remain open for subscription between April 24, 2012 and April 26, 2012. Is the jewellery retailer worth the glitter? Let's try to find out:

The Price Band for the IPO is Rs.120/- to Rs.126/- per equity share. Correspondingly, the bid lot would be 45 Equity Shares and in multiples thereof.

The objects of Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd. IPO are:
1. To finance the establishment of new showrooms;
2. To finance incremental working capital requirements;


IPO Rating:
CRISIL has assigned an IPO Grade 3 to Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd (TBZ) IPO. This means as per CRISIL, company has 'Average Fundamentals'. CRISIL assigns IPO grading on a scale of IPO Grade 5 to IPO Grade 1, with IPO Grade 5 indicating strong fundamentals and IPO Grade 1 indicating poor fundamentals. Click here to read more on TBZ IPO - CRISIL Rating


Significant Risks involved in the issue:
1. There are criminal proceedings pending against two of the company's independent Directors
2. The objects of the Issue includes the financing of the establishment of nine new large format high street showrooms in eight cities. However, interestingly, within the cities identified, the exact location of where these showrooms would be located has not yet been finalised
3. There are five third parties with the right to use the "Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri" name
4.The company does not register its jewellery designs under the Design Act, 2000 and may lose revenue if the designs are duplicated by competitors
5. For Fiscal 2011 and the nine months ended December 31, 2011, 94.15% and 93.69% of total turnover, respectively, was generated from concentrated regions. Hence, lack of geographical diversion can be a restriction for the company


Analysis of Financials:
Following are the financials of the company as per the Red Herring Prospectus filed by the company:


The company has managed to achieve a turnover of around Rs.1,194 Crores for FY ending 2011. The PAT  margin for the said year comes to a rather scant 3.35%. As against this, Gitanjali Gems Ltd., a listed peer, has a bit stronger position with a Turnover of Rs.5,122 Crores and a PAT margin of around 4.38%. Besides, unlike Gitanjali Gems, lack of geographical diversity and extensive global presence can also be a bottleneck for TBZ.

Although a strong brand name and experienced management can be positives for the company, investors may not digest the risk factors and not so extraordinary financial performance of the company

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

MCX IPO - Analysis from Indian IPO Blog Insights

February 22, 2012 0
MCX IPO - Analysis from Indian IPO Blog Insights
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (MCX), has entered the capital markets with an IPO of 6,427,378 Equity Shares of Rs.10/- each from today. The shares would be offered in a price band of Rs.860/- to Rs.1,032/- per equity share. The IPO would close for subscription on February 24, 2012

Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (MCX) is the Indian electronic commodity futures exchange. The company is taking an entry in the markets with expectations from many of reviving the bleeding IPO market. Does it have what it takes? Let's try and find out in this Detailed Analysis on MCX IPO from Indian IPO Blog Insights

Check back Indian IPO Blog for latest subscription status updates on the MCX IPO!

Tuesday, February 21, 2012

MCX IPO - An Analysis and Insight

February 21, 2012 0
MCX IPO - An Analysis and Insight
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd (MCX), the Indian electronic commodity futures exchange, is entering the capital markets with an Initial Public Offering (IPO) with a certain amount of bang around it and an expectation from many of reviving the bleeding IPO market. Does it have what it takes?

Let's try and find out in this Detailed Analysis on MCX IPO from Indian IPO Blog Insights

Sunday, October 2, 2011

Indo Thai Securities IPO - Analysis from Indian IPO Blog Insights

October 02, 2011 0
Indo Thai Securities IPO - Analysis from Indian IPO Blog Insights
Indo Thai Securities Limited has entered the capital markets with a Public issue of 40,00,000 Equity Shares of Rs.10/- each. The Issue would remain open for subscription between Sep 30, 2011 to Oct 5, 2011

The Price Band for the 100% Book Building Issue is fixed at Rs.70/- to Rs.84/- per equity share with a bid lot of 80 Equity Shares and in multiples thereof. Corporate Strategic Allianz Limited is the Book Running Lead Manager to the Issue with Hem Securities Limited being its Syndicate Member and Sharepro Services (India) Private Limited being the Registrar to the Issue


Company Profile:
Indo Thai Securities is an Indian Stock Broking Company providing trading services in Indian Equity Market (BSE and NSE), Future & Options and Currency Derivatives Segments. The company also provides depository services through Central Depository Services (India) Limited. Other services offered by Indo Thai Securities includes Mutual Fund Service System (MFSS) & Interest Rate Futures (IRF) from NSE. The company is promoted by Mr. Parasmal Doshi and Mr. Dhanpal Doshi

Click here to read the complete analysis on Indo Thai Securities Limited IPO